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四個技術指標顯示牛市重臨?(Fibonacci)

(文:Fibonacci)
今日是一個重要日子,今日恒指收於30077點。是去年6月15日以來,首次收高於三萬點。其實自從突破29500以來,相信很多做淡者已經止蝕。現時的升勢的確十分強勢,而且有四個指標確認,牛市已重臨:
一)較低位已升超20%:恒指現價距離今年低位24540已經升超過20%(29463就已經升穿),進入技術性牛市。

二)中長線黃金交叉:50天線現時已升穿250天線,中長線升勢確認。這種技術形態出現次數較少,準確程度較高。

三)三月的兩次調整在RSI 50已見支持:我先前一直認為調整會出現,調整確實是出現了,但跌幅比想像中少,基本上每次去到RSI 50就有支持,是大市強勢的象徵。

四)企穩跌浪的黃金比例0.618之上。黃金比例是重要的跌浪修正浪參考指標,自去年1月的高位和去年10月的低位,一共下跌了8944點。然後出現了反彈,突破第一個阻力27956點(黃金比例0.382),然後今日又突破第二個阻力30067點(黃金比例0.618)。突破這兩個關口,就不能視之為跌浪修正浪了,而是真正的升浪。

總括而言,也就是說,熊市完結,牛市來臨,今年有機會試前頂33484。 順帶一提,先前調整的確出現了,但沒有我想像中跌得多(只回到28463就止步了),實在抱歉...