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如何看待中國住房空置率?10%?20%?
眾所周知,空置率越高,房屋使用率就越低,房屋泡沫越大。
按照國際常見的標準,空置率10%以下為較合理區,房屋供求基本平衡;10%-20%之間為危險區間;20%以上為房屋庫存嚴重積壓。

關於中國的空置率問題,一直有很多不同的說法,有的說12%(比如國家電網),有的說22%(比如騰訊網)
為什麼會差那麼遠?中金最近報告給了一個解釋。
空置率存在廣義和狹義兩個口徑,廣義指只要某時刻該房屋無人居住即為空置,狹義則剔除正在裝修或危舊等合理空置。
測算顯示,當前城區狹義空置率僅為9.7%,低於美國、日本等成熟市場;而即使將鎮區納入考量,12.1%的城鎮總體空置率水平也處於合理區間。中金強調,空置率在過去近十年中也呈現下降趨勢。

國家統計局2015年抽樣調查揭示出諸多重要信息:
存量住房中78%為6層及以下建築(21%為平房),這其中絕大部分沒有電梯;
16%的住房無廚房或衛生間(美日等發達國家該比例接近0);
15%建於1990年以前。
存量住房套型結構偏小,一居和二居室佔比達62%,而四居室及以上佔比僅7%。
中金認為,這不僅預示著大量的拆除、改建,也意味著巨大的潛在改善型需求。

中金測算顯示,目前中國家庭戶住房自有化率80%(若包含集體戶則為75%)。城鎮家庭戶中,20%無房,65%僅有一套房,15%有兩套及以上住房(平均3.2套)。

你又會怎麼看中國住房空置率?
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來源:中金、西南财经、互聯網