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大摩終於改口唱好港股,2019目標價29850
2018年港股先大升再大跌,年初率先唱淡港股的大摩(摩根士丹利)轉向開始唱好!

經濟日報指,摩根士丹利亞洲及新興市場股票策略部主管郭強盛(Jonathan Garner)認為隨着中美緊張的貿易關係逐步紓緩,美債息及美元轉勢回落,配合估值吸引,港股現已處於牛市初段,明年表現會更佳。
郭強盛此前分別於4、6及8月三度下調恒指目標,11月開始改變看法,上月底至本月初更兩度上調恒指目標,明年底看29850點。以上週五收報26094點計算,潛在升幅約14.4%。
郭強盛稱,港股今年經曆盈利下調及估值重估的劇烈震盪,恒指市盈率一度跌至9.3倍,其後中美貿易摩擦漸紓緩,美國聯儲局暗示加息已近尾聲,美國經濟增速放緩,油價又回落,因此‘熊市已於10月底告終,進入牛市初段。
他又稱牛市開始時,投資者大多都不願相信。就像今年初,大部分投資者都不相信股市會觸頂回落,市場對後市過分樂觀,結果恒指從高位回落約25%。
他形容,明年亞洲市場將會「撥開雲霧見青天(clouds to clear)」,所以他給予中國、日本及新興市場股市「增持」評級,反將美股列為「減持」。
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來源:經濟日報
圖片來源:新浪